Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.034797 0.037852 0.040915 0.044213 0.047655 0.051138 0.054923
2026-01-25 0.028550 0.032982 0.037570 0.042653 0.048104 0.053754 0.060033
2026-02-01 0.024450 0.029857 0.035618 0.042160 0.049333 0.056913 0.065485
2026-02-08 0.021381 0.027507 0.034207 0.041984 0.050673 0.060005 0.070709
2026-02-15 0.019729 0.026543 0.034162 0.043164 0.053376 0.064478 0.077349
2026-02-22 0.018196 0.025555 0.033957 0.044047 0.055647 0.068397 0.083314
2026-03-01 0.016661 0.024425 0.033474 0.044512 0.057360 0.071624 0.088452
2026-03-08 0.015173 0.023232 0.032816 0.044686 0.058667 0.074335 0.092960
2026-03-15 0.014284 0.022706 0.032896 0.045676 0.060875 0.078034 0.098556
2026-03-22 0.012665 0.021138 0.031620 0.044970 0.061035 0.079336 0.101382
2026-03-29 0.011655 0.020290 0.031175 0.045219 0.062280 0.081855 0.105572
2026-04-05 0.010913 0.019748 0.031072 0.045850 0.063952 0.084850 0.110291
2026-04-12 0.010141 0.019135 0.030874 0.046375 0.065525 0.087772 0.114988
2026-04-19 0.008592 0.017325 0.029047 0.044803 0.064516 0.087625 0.116095
2026-04-26 0.007597 0.016235 0.028110 0.044310 0.064784 0.088962 0.118914
2026-05-03 0.006804 0.015385 0.027450 0.044134 0.065416 0.090711 0.122202
2026-05-10 0.006543 0.015334 0.027871 0.045351 0.067773 0.094526 0.127929
2026-05-17 0.006204 0.015132 0.028065 0.046261 0.069738 0.097865 0.133093
2026-05-24 0.005757 0.014723 0.027945 0.046738 0.071149 0.100529 0.137450
2026-05-31 0.005259 0.014185 0.027616 0.046918 0.072169 0.102707 0.141223
2026-06-07 0.005031 0.014093 0.027918 0.047936 0.074249 0.106175 0.146537
2026-06-14 0.004358 0.013159 0.026952 0.047210 0.074080 0.106879 0.148526
2026-06-21 0.003987 0.012735 0.026718 0.047466 0.075158 0.109102 0.152335